SRF is a multi-business group, global entity with manufacturing
plants in four countries and is market leader in most of its businesses in its
home market in India. SRF is also the world's 2nd largest manufacturer of both
the Nylon 6 tyre cord as well as the belting fabrics.
SRF began in 1970 when its parent company DCM decided to set
up a separate entity to manufacture nylon tyre cord fibres. SRF became one of
the first companies in India to start manufacturing nylon tyre cords. Over the
years, the company expanded its product line in technical textiles and also
diversified into other businesses like Chemicals, Packaging Films and
Engineering Plastics. Its one of the few manufacturing successes emerging out
of India and is winning globally over the years.
Its important to note that a good company and good stock are
sometimes two different things. In SRF’s case, this Midcap star is also a good
stock to own as firm is available at decent valuations and with great track-record
of rewarding shareholders with generous dividend payments over the years.
Sample this, SRF has not missed its annual dividend payment
since 2001. For 2011 and 2010, its dividend payment was 140% of face value. In 2012,
firm has already paid 70% of dividend to its shareholders.
Most important thing to note about any stock is to see how
are promoters valuing its own stocks. i.e. is their ownership in their own
company going up over time, or are they diluting and washing off their hands
off the firm, with public being left holding most of the diluted stock. You would
find very few companies whose promoter ownership goes up over time, and in case
you find such firms, be ready to own them and own them for long. If promoter
values his own firm and is ready to buy back shares, common shareholder would be
duly rewarded with strong stock price support and regular dividends.
In case of SRF Ltd, its good to see that promoter ownership
has grown from past three quarters, from 47.81% three quarters back, to 48.31%
two quarters back to 49.45% in last quarter.
Looking under the hood, we find that company is in very good
financial health and Reserves and surplus has grown from 745 crores in 2007 to
1522 crores in 2011. The current market cap of firm is just about 1384 crores,
hence you are getting a firm worth 1384 crores which is actually holding 1522
crores of Reserves and surplus. The current market price of 238.70 is a good discount
to the Book Value of Rs 271 per share. Hence you are able to procure the firm
at a very reasonable valuations of 12% discount to its Book Value.
This discount to Book Value for good companies
like SRF Ltd is just a Bear Market phenomenon. In Bull markets, financial
advisors would be advising you to buy firms at 50% or even 100%, 200% higher
prices than Book Values, because none of the good firms would be actually
trading anywhere near its Book Value. Hence Value Buyers like Warren Buffet are
often quoted saying that they feel like a kid in candy store during a bear
market, because so many good companies are available at discounted prices,
which is not possible during the Bull runs.
SRF’s revenues have
grown very well from Rs 1963 crores in 2007 to Rs 3063 crores in 2011. Given its
Dec quarter runrate of Rs 949 crore revenue in one quarter, its annual revenues
might well touch Rs 4000 crores in next financial year. EPS or earning per
share is a robust Rs 79.91 per share in 2011. This results in PE ratio of just
about 2.99. Imagine owning a world leader company at a PE ratio of 2.99. This
again is a Bear Market possibility. In Bull runs, good firm trade at P/E ratios
of well over 10-12 and of course it again depends on market segments, growth
rates and many such fancy parameters.
To summarize, SRF is a robust firm, world leader in its segment, excellent dividend track-record, available at discounted valuations and promoters in this case care about the firm to buy shares in their own company and increase their holdings. A true dividend gem and Midcap star and a future Multi-Bagger.
I have a few question regarding SRF ltd. SRF enjoys a much better operational efficiency than its competitors. Is it because of CER revenues?
ReplyDeleteIf the CER revenue cease to exist, what is the future of this company?
What do you think is the reason in drastic decline in the Margins in the first 2 quarters of 2012-13 ?